Eleven games in MLS this weekend and some good betting opportunities. Hopefully, will have better luck here than with the World Cup! Five bets for me this weekend:
5 unit bet on Vancouver-Colorado Over 2.75 @1.88
5 unit bet on NY Red Bulls +.25 @ 2.03
1 unit bet on NY Red Bulls-Toronto FC Over 3 @1.87
1 unit bet on New England-DC United Over 3 @1.94
1 unit bet on Portland +.25 @1.95
Vancouver Whitecaps-Colorado Rapids
Vancouver with an awful performance away to Philadelphia last weekend and after conceding 4 goals in that match, they now lead the league with 34 goals allowed. They will look to bounce back here and they face the perfect opponent for that in the Colorado Rapids. The Rapids finally got a victory last week, but prior to that, they had gone nine straight without a win. Vancouver now have seven straight matches go over 2.5 goals and have not kept a clean sheet in eight straight. This team can score though and prior to the Philadelphia match, they had scored at least twice in six straight. But the Rapids are starting to score some goals themselves, with three in their last match against Minnesota and two in the game before that against Chicago. The Whitecaps will be missing two central defenders in Kendall Waston and Jose Aja, so I think there is a good chance that the Rapids continue their scoring streak. I am gonna predict a 3-1 Vancouver win in this one.
Toronto FC-New York Red Bulls
Toronto is another team that put in an awful performance and after their loss last weekend against NYC and I am starting to really worry about this teams chances of making the playoffs. They’ve had a ton of excuses for their poor start to the season, their involvement in the Concacaf Champions League, lots of injury problems, etc, but they are starting to look like a team that is just not good enough and defensively they look very poor. I think they should play better this week now that they are in front of their own fans, but they will be facing a Red Bulls team that is very difficult to beat. New York is tied for fewest goals allowed in the league and are also second in goals scored, just one behind Atlanta. They are also one of the best away teams in the league, losing just one of their last five. I expect Toronto to play better in this game and at home, I at least expect them to score some goals, but against a very tough NY team and with their poor defense, I don’t think they will win this game. I like the Red Bulls in this one by a score of 3-2
New England Revolution-DC United
The big news this week for DC is that they have finally made their signing of Wayne Rooney official. This is a very big signing and is the star name that they wanted to have when they open their new stadium in a few weeks. And while in will be interesting to see how Rooney does in MLS, DC have been scoring plenty of goals without him. United haven’t been held scoreless since the beginning of April and eight of twelve matches this season have had at least three goals.
Meanwhile, the Revolution have only kept two clean sheets this season but have only been held without a goal three times. The Revs should be able to score in this game as well against a DC team that only has one clean sheet on the season. There have been some wild games and big scorelines with these teams this season and I think we will see another high scoring match on Saturday. I like the Revs to win 3-1.
Seattle Sounders-Portland Timbers
A big match up in the Cascadia Cup with Seattle looking to get revenge for their 1-0 loss earlier this year in Portland, but they will be up against a Timbers team that is tough to beat. Portland have not lost a match since the beginning of April and they have a lot more firepower than this Seattle team that has struggled to score goals all season. Seattle has only 11 goals scored in MLS play, by far the lowest in the league and they have only won three of their 14 matches. Though the Sounders will be backed by a huge home crowd in this one, I don’t think they’ll be able to beat a strong Timbers team here, I like Portland to win 1-0.
And the rest of the games this weekend:
Minnesota United-FC Dallas: Lean Under 3 @1.85
Dallas with just two losses this season and both of those have been on trips to New York. After a 3-0 loss this past weekend to the Red Bulls and a 3-1 loss to NYC in April, I think Dallas will be happy that they do not have to return to NY again this season. But other than that, Dallas has been outstanding and are in second place in the Western Conference and they play a Minnesota team that is down in ninth in the West. But this Minnesota team have been solid at home this season, with four wins, a draw, and just two losses. They also beat Dallas when they came to Minnesota last season. So picking a side here is a bit difficult, but I do think that the Under 3 goals is a solid bet though. Minnesota’s home games average just 2.3 goals per match, while Dallas average just 2.7 on the road. I think that this could be a low scoring game and will predict this to end 1-1, but the last time Dallas came to Minnesota, the match ended 4-1, so I think is is best to avoid this game
Atlanta United-Orlando City: Lean Atlanta -1.5 @2.05
The last time these two met, Orlando was on a six game winning streak. After their 2-1 loss in that match, the Lions are now on a seven match losing steak in league play. This team has had a lot of injuries this season and are now playing with an interim coach, so this is a bad time to go into a hostile environment like Atlanta. Orlando is at least getting healthy, so will be playing a stronger side, but I have a feeling that Atlanta is going to get rolling and produce a lop sided victory over this struggling Orlando team.
Atlanta had some really big wins earlier in the season, 4-1 over Vancouver, 5-0 over LAFC, 4-1 over Montreal. But recently their matches have been much closer, but they have been facing several strong opponents. I think that facing a reeling Orlando team is just what they need to get another big win, but the Lions have always played Atlanta tough. In head to head meetings, their have been two draws and two narrow wins for Atlanta by scores of 1-0 and 2-1. I am gonna predict a 4-1 win for Atlanta here, but this has become a big rivalry in MLS and Orlando will be motivated for this game, they may make it tough for Atlanta in this one
Montreal Impact-Sporting Kansas City: Lean Draw @3.24
Montreal with wins in three of four matches, but you really have to question the quality of their opponents in those games. The Impact had lost eight of nine prior to that and they have the most losses in the league this season with 11. Sporting KC will be a much tougher test for the Impact and they are top of the Western Conference with 32 points and they have only lost once on the road this season. But Sporting have been getting a lot of draws this season and they have just as many draws in away games as victories. Head to head these teams have also drawn the last two meetings. KC is the superior team, but Montreal are playing better and with home field, they probably will get something from this game. I will predict this to end 1-1
Columbus Crew-Real Salt Lake: Lean Columbus -1 @1.79
RSL have had a strange season and though they are currently in the playoff places, this is due entirely to their strong performances at home. Their away matches, on the other hand, have been horrendous. Just one win and one draw in seven road games, with just five goals scored and 20 allowed. I do think that Columbus should get a win here and I was very close to betting on the Crew for this one, but they have not been in the best of form lately. The Crew have gone five matches without a win and though they have played a very difficult schedule and face a much easier opponent in this one, the odds on them here are a bit too low for me. But I do like the Crew to get back on track with a 3-0 win in this match.
Chicago Fire-New York City FC: Lean Draw @3.64
NYC are in second place in the East, but they have not been good lately on the road. They have lost three of five away matches and have not gotten a road win since the beginning of April and that was against a poor San Jose team. Chicago have been a very average team this season, but they have only lost once in their last five games. Two of the last four meetings between these teams have ended in Draws and I think this is a match that is very even as well. I am gonna predict a 1-1 result in this game.
Los Angeles FC-Philadelphia Union: Lean Philadelphia +.75 @1.99
Both teams got big wins last week and both are currently in playoff places. LA are in third in the West and have impressively won two straight without star forward Carlos Vela. The Union moved into a the final playoff spot in the East with a 4-0 defeat of Vancouver last Saturday. This team has looked strong after a poor start to this season and I think they could get another result in LA this weekend. LA have gotten two good wins in a row, but they got a very lucky win over a bad San Jose team and then another against a bad road team in Columbus. I think Philadelphia will be a tougher match and I think the odds are too low on LA for this game. I think we will get a 1-1 result in this one.
San Jose Earthquakes-LA Galaxy: Lean LA Galaxy PK @ 1.88
San Jose have only won two matches all season, both against Minnesota. They have also allowed the second most goals in the league with 32. They have already lost to the Galaxy once this season and while they will be tough to beat at home, they are facing an LA team that is now in better form. After a slow start to the season, the Galaxy have now only lost once in their last five. LA will be missing some players for this one, but San Jose is just a team that I can not trust to get a result. I like the Galaxy to get a 1-0 win here.