The Second Qualifying round of the Champions League continues this week and a couple Overs I like in these games. After Dinamo Zagreb and Celtic jumped to big leads, Hapoel and Rosenborg will need to respond in the second legs, so I think we should see some more goals. Here are my Champions League bets for this week:
1 unit bet on Hapoel Beer Sheva-Dinamo Zagreb Over 2.5 @1.81
1 unit bet on Rosenborg-Celtic Over 2.5 @1.93
Hapoel Beer Sheva-Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo got a huge 5-0 win in the last round and now Hapoel need a miracle to make the next round and have no choice but to go all out for goals. Hapoel have scored in every Champions League home game they have ever played and have scored more than once in all but one. But Hapoel have conceded in all three of their qualifying games so far this season, including both legs against Flora of Estonia, so keeping a clean sheet here is probably unlikely. I think this will end 2-2.
An impressive performance in the first leg saw Celtic take a 3-1 lead and the Scottish Champions could have scored a few more. But they will be in for a difficult match in Norway and Rosenborg will need to attack and score some goals. The past six home matches have all gone over 2.5 goals for Rosenborg including the last round against Valur of Iceland which ended 3-1. Celtic are still without a couple defenders who are still resting after the World Cup, but they are scoring tons of goals so far in qualifying, led by Odsonne Edouard who already has 3. I think Celtic get another 3-1 win in this match.
And the rest of the matches for the Second Qualifying round:
Sheriff Tiraspol-Shkendija: Lean Over 2.5 @2.23
The first leg ended just 1-0 for Shkendija, but there were a ton of shots in the game and both were a bit unlucky to not score more. Both legs in the previous round went over 2.5 for both of these teams and Sheriff need to score if they are to move on. I think Sheriff will get a 2-1 in this match.
Spartak Trnava-Legia Warsaw: Lean Over 2.5 @2.13
Trnava got a surprising upset victory in Warsaw in the first leg and take a nice 2-0 lead back to Slovakia for this match. Legia need to get some goals here and I think they will be able to score at least once, but Trnava are playing very well and they should be able to score at home as well. I think Legia will win 2-1.
HJK Helsinki-BATE Borisov: Lean Over 2 @1.77
HJK hung on for a 0-0 draw in the first leg, despite BATE having a lot more possession and shots on goal. This match could be a tight one but this is a very low total and if any goals are scored early on, the other side will need to respond. I am gonna predict a 2-1 win for BATE
FK Qarabag-FK Kukesi: Lean Under 2.25 @1.86
The first leg of the tie ended 0-0 and both sides also played a scoreless draw in the previous round. All the matches with these two during qualifying have been low scoring and this will probably be a similar situation. Kukesi will try to hold out as long as possible and while I think Qarabag will be too strong in the end, they will make it difficult. I think Qarabag win 1-0.
FC Midtjylland-FC Astana: Lean Astana +.5 @1.83
Astana got a late winner in the first tie and take a 2-1 lead into this match, though the Danish side got an important away goal and now have home advantage on Wednesday. But Astana have a lot more experience in this competition and though they haven’t been the best in away matches, they have been able to grind out quite a few draws on their travels and I think they can do the same in this match. I think this will end 1-1
Malmo FF-CFR Cluj: Lean Malmo ML @1.95
Malmo got a 1-0 win away in Romania in the first leg and this was quite a surprise, as they have traditionally been a terrible road team in European competition. On the other hand, they have been very good when playing in Sweden, especially in these early qualifying rounds. I think Malmo win 2-0
FK Suduva-Red Star Belgrade: Lean Over 2.5 @2.02
Red Star take a commanding 3-0 lead into this match and Suduva will have to attack all out to get back into the tie. The Lithuanians did score a bunch of goals when they played at home in the last round though and they defeated APOEL 3-1. They can probably score in this match but will struggle to stop Red Star once again. I think Red Star get a 3-1 win in this game
FC Basel-PAOK: Lean Basel Over 2.75 @2.00
Five of the last six home matches in the Champions League have gone over 2.5 goals for Basel and they will need to score in this one after losing the fist leg 2-1. But Basel have been struggling badly defensively so far this season, so PAOK are likely to score as well in this game. I think this match will end 2-2
MOL Videoton-Ludogorets: Lean Ludogorets -.75 @1.92
Ludogorets had 61% of the possession in the first leg and out shot their opponents 16 to 2. But Vidi were able to keep a clean sheet and come away with a 0-0 draw. Now they get the second leg at home and should feel good about their chances of advancing. But I still think Ludogorets have too much quality in their squad and will eventually be able to get a couple goals in this match. I like Ludogorets to win 2-0
Sturm Graz-Ajax: Lean Ajax ML @2.02
Ajax dominated the first leg of this tie and their was a big disparity in possession and shots in favor of the Dutch team. Sturm Graz will need to go for goals in this match and this could open them up and give Ajax plenty of chances. I think Ajax get a 2-1 win in this match.